The Passport for June and July 2019

This is an online version of the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). You may click here to see other online issues or click here to reach the archive of recent issues in PDF format. 

Venezuela’s Crisis: Chavez, Maduro, and Beyond?

Venezuela finds itself mired in an unprecedented economic and political crisis.  The economy has contracted nearly 50% since President Maduro took office in 2013, oil production has declined to levels below those last seen in 1950, and inflation has reached as high as an estimated annual rate of over 1.3 million percent.  Millions have fled abroad in search of a better life, making Venezuela’s migration crisis the second worst in the world after Syria’s.

In 2019, the ruling Maduro regime faces new challenges at home from an opposition that has declared it illegitimate.  There is also unrest from within its own ranks, and from abroad due to diplomatic non-recognition by over 50 governments and U.S. opposition to its continuation of power.  In his talk, Dr. Harold Trinkunas will examine the apparently intractable political and economic crisis facing Venezuela. He will discuss the role played by the military in keeping the present government in power and the impact of the latest domestic and international pressures on the Maduro regime.

Click the dateline above to read more.


Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency

Larry Diamond is a leading contemporary scholar in the field of democracy studies. He has made it his life’s work to secure democracy’s future by understanding its past and by advising dissidents who are fighting autocracy around the world. During his talk, Professor Diamond will discuss his latest book, Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency (Penguin Press, 2019), which is a personal and passionate call to action against the rising authoritarianism that is occurring today. In his remarks, he will analyze the challenges confronting liberal democracy in the United States and around the world, and will offer an agenda for strengthening and defending democracy both at home and abroad.

Click the dateline above to read more.


The Great Decisions discussion program for 2019 concluded on March 25. However, the conversation continues through WACMB’s two ongoing discussion groups. Both programs are free for WACMB members. Each month, the group will select the topic for the following month’s discussion.

Click the headline above to read more.


Click the headline above to read more.


WACMB In Profile: Judy Sloan

The World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area is full of interesting people who have done and are doing interesting things. WACMB In Profile will let you get to know some of them better.

If you enjoy the WACMB luncheon programs, Judy Sloan is the person to thank. She’s headed up the Programs Committee for 14 years, and enjoys finding great speakers who can enlighten us about world affairs.

A second-generation San Franciscan, Judy decided early in life that she wanted to see the world. When she was sixteen, her dream came true when her high school selected her to be its foreign exchange student. Off she went to Sweden, where she lived with a family on a farm on Gotland, an island in the Baltic Sea. This magical experience launched her into a lifetime of international work and travel.

Judy spent her freshman year of college in Japan on a Lions Club exchange through Tokyo’s Kojimachi Lions Club. Her sponsor family introduced her to all things Japanese, from Zen temples to sumo wrestling. Judy fell in love with East Asia. She earned a BA in International Relations at UC Davis (and a Phi Beta Kappa key), and was awarded a full scholarship to Stanford, where she obtained an MA in East Asian Studies. Along the way, she returned to Japan to study for a second time.

Judy’s career began in San Francisco at the Asia Foundation, a grant-making international development organization. While there, Judy met Lin Sloan, an executive with the Foundation. They married in 1978, and immediately resigned their jobs to . . . you guessed it: travel around the world. During their year-long odyssey, Judy and Lin spent time in Asia, Egypt, and Europe, living on a shoestring and having a grand time. In Goa, India, they stayed for three weeks in an old Portuguese house on the beach, which they rented for fifty cents a day. Judy says it was more interesting and fun than any five-star hotel could have been.

Upon their return to the US, Judy and Lin settled in Washington, DC, where she joined the staff of the International Rescue Committee, a refugee resettlement organization. Eventually, she made her way to the DC office of the Asia Society, a nonprofit, public education organization founded by John D. Rockefeller III and based in New York City. (Don’t confused the Asia Society with the Asia Foundation.) As the Director of the DC office for 18 years, Judy did a little bit of everything – developed programs, recruited and trained staff, raised funds, balanced budgets – and thrived on the diversity. Meanwhile, Lin worked in Congress for the House Foreign Affairs and the Senate Foreign Relations Committees.

After 23 years in DC, Judy and Lin moved back west to care for her parents. They landed in Monterey, where Judy fairly quickly found her niche at WACMB. She also seized the opportunity to study calligraphy and watercolor. In fact, she just had her first watercolor show at the Carmel Foundation. Clearly, Judy continues to find new and exciting worlds to explore!


Want to Get Involved?

WACMB is always looking for volunteers to help keep the organization running smoothly. If you’d like to get more involved with your organization, whether on a committee or on the board, we welcome you! Please let us know by sending an email to wacmb@redshift.com.


Speaker’s Book

At October’s luncheon, Tom Bruneau, Distinguished Professor Emeritus from the Naval Postgraduate School, spoke about the implications of the US military’s increasing use of private contractors. If you’d like to learn more about Professor Bruneau’s topic, you might be interested in his book Patriots for Profit: Contractors and the Military in U.S. National Security, published by Stanford University Press in 2011. It is available from the publisher in both hardcover and paperback (www.sup.org), and from Amazon in hardcover, paperback, and Kindle editions.


This is the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). Founded in 1951, the council is a nonprofit, non-partisan organization established to promote the presentation, discussion, and study of international affairs. WACMB is a tax-exempt 501 (c) (3) organization, EIN-770301206. Contributions are tax deductible as permitted by law. WACMB sponsors monthly luncheons, discussion groups, and student scholarships.

Corporate and institutional support for the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area is provided by:

  • California State University Monterey Bay
  • Defense Language Institute
  • Monterey Peninsula College
  • Naval Postgraduate School
  • Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey
  • Rancho Canada
  • Horan & Lloyd Law Firm

WACMB Logo

Luncheon on June 21, 2019

Topic

Venezuela’s Crisis: Chavez, Maduro, and Beyond?

Speaker

Dr. Harold Trinkunas

Senior Research Scholar, Center for International Security and Cooperation

Stanford University

Overview

Venezuela finds itself mired in an unprecedented economic and political crisis.  The economy has contracted nearly 50% since President Maduro took office in 2013, oil production has declined to levels below those last seen in 1950, and inflation has reached as high as an estimated annual rate of over 1.3 million percent.  Millions have fled abroad in search of a better life, making Venezuela’s migration crisis the second worst in the world after Syria’s.

In 2019, the ruling Maduro regime faces new challenges at home from an opposition that has declared it illegitimate.  There is also unrest from within its own ranks, and from abroad due to diplomatic non-recognition by over 50 governments and U.S. opposition to its continuation of power.  In his talk, Dr. Harold Trinkunas will examine the apparently intractable political and economic crisis facing Venezuela. He will discuss the role played by the military in keeping the present government in power and the impact of the latest domestic and international pressures on the Maduro regime.

Harold Trinkunas is both Deputy Director and a Senior Research Scholar at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Prior to arriving at Stanford, Dr. Trinkunas served as the Charles W. Robinson Chair and Senior Fellow and Director of the Latin America Initiative in the Foreign Policy Program at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC. Dr. Trinkunas has written on emerging powers and the international order, ungoverned spaces, terrorism financing, borders, democratic civil/ military relations, drug policy, and internet governance. His latest book is Militants, Criminals, and Warlords: The Challenge of Local Governance in an Age of Disorder (Brookings, 2017). He received his doctorate in political science from Stanford University. He was born in Maracaibo, Venezuela.

Please note that this program will be held at the Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey.  Room capacity is limited. Reservations will be accepted in the order they are received until the program is full. Depending on demand, we may be unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Agenda

  • Friday, June 21, 2019
  • 11:30 am: Registration
  • 11:50 am: Luncheon
  • 12:45 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Field Greens Salad with Lemon Herb Vinaigrette
  • Honey Dijon Garlic Chicken over Toasted Almond Couscous
  • Sauteed Vegetables
  • Rolls and Butter
  • Coffee and Decaf
  • Frosted Lemon Bundt Cake with Blueberries
  • Vegetarian Choice: Grilled Vegetable Stack with a Classic Pesto

Luncheon Cost

  • $31 for members
  • $40 for guests

Registration

Reservations are due by June 17 for this June 21 event.

Refunds are not available after the due date listed above.

To register by mail, fax, or phone, click here to view or download the Luncheon Reservation form in PDF file format and follow the instructions.

To register and pay online with a credit card, debit card, or PayPal, click here.

Location

Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey
1000 Aguajito Road
Monterey, CA 93923

Property and Parking Map

Click here for larger view.

Discussion Groups for June 2019

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

WACMB Discussion Group meetings are free and open to the public.

The Great Decisions discussion program for 2019 concluded on March 25. However, the conversation continues through WACMB’s two ongoing discussion groups. Both programs are free for WACMB members. Each month, the group will select the topic for the following month’s discussion.


MPC

Meetings are on the second Monday of the month, from 4:00-5:30 pm in Room 101, Social Sciences Building. Parking is available for $3 in Lot D.

The topic for the June 10 meeting is“Afghanistan: Prospects for Peace or Endless War.” Over fifty years after the founding of Israel, tensions remain. Can common ground be found between the two sides?

Click here to put this event on your online calendar.


OLLI/CSUMB

Meetings are on the third Monday of the month, from 4:00-5:30 at the CSUMB Ryan Ranch Location. Parking is free. Note: please RSVP for this group at either csumb.edu/olli or (831) 582-5500 so that you can receive course communications.

The topic for the June 17 meeting is Brexit.

Click here to put this event on your online calendar.

Luncheon on July 11, 2019

Topic

Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency

Speaker

Prof. Larry Diamond

Senior Fellow at the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law and Faculty Director of the Haas Center for Public Service

Stanford University

Overview

Larry Diamond is a leading contemporary scholar in the field of democracy studies. He has made it his life’s work to secure democracy’s future by understanding its past and by advising dissidents who are fighting autocracy around the world. During his talk, Professor Diamond will discuss his latest book, Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency (Penguin Press, 2019), which is a personal and passionate call to action against the rising authoritarianism that is occurring today. In his remarks, he will analyze the challenges confronting liberal democracy in the United States and around the world, and will offer an agenda for strengthening and defending democracy both at home and abroad.

Larry Diamond is a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), both at Stanford University. For more than six years, he directed FSI’s Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, where he now leads its Program on Arab Reform and Democracy and its Global Digital Policy Incubator. He is the founding coeditor of the Journal of Democracy. Dr. Diamond is a prolific author; his other books include In Search of Democracy (2016), The Spirit of Democracy (2008), and Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation (1999). He has also edited or coedited more than forty books on democratic development around the world. Dr. Diamond was educated at Stanford, with a BA in Political Organization and Behavior, an MA from Stanford’s Food Research Institute, and a PhD in Sociology.

Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency will be available for purchase at the luncheon.

Please note that this program will be held at the Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey.  Room capacity is limited. Reservations will be accepted in the order they are received until the program is full. Depending on demand, we may be unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Agenda

  • Thursday, July 11, 2019
  • 11:30 am: Registration
  • 11:50 am: Luncheon
  • 12:45 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • California Field Greens with Almonds, Cranberries, and Pears
  • Maple & Mustard Glazed Salmon
  • Roasted Root Vegetables
  • Wild Rice Pilaf
  • Rolls and Butter
  • Coffee and Decaf
  • An Assortment of Chocolate and Double Chocolate Cupcakes
  • Vegetarian Choice: Harvest Squash stuffed with Herbs and Mushrooms

Luncheon Cost

  • $31 for members
  • $40 for guests

Registration

Reservations are due by July 8 for this July 11 event.

Refunds are not available after the due date listed above.

To register by mail, fax, or phone, click here to view or download the Luncheon Reservation form in PDF file format and follow the instructions.

To register and pay online with a credit card, debit card, or PayPal, click here.

Location

Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey
1000 Aguajito Road
Monterey, CA 93923

Property and Parking Map

Click here for larger view.

Luncheon on May 23, 2019

Topic

Afghanistan: Political Order and the Prospects for Peace

Speaker

Overview

In recent months there has been a flurry of movement in the Afghan peace process after years of frustrated efforts to negotiate an end to the war in Afghanistan.  Is peace at hand and is it sustainable?

Our guest, Dr. Naazneen Barma, will assess the prospects for a peaceful settlement to the Afghanistan conflict, the current draft peace framework, and the complex governance challenges that would follow if such a deal were struck with the Taliban. 

In her remarks, Professor Barma will describe how past international attempts at brokering peace in Afghanistan – including the 2001 Bonn Agreement – have unsuccessfully contended with the underlying political realities in the country, which in turn have been forged by decades of conflict.  She will also discuss the view that Afghan elites have constructed a political order in which traditional, patronage-based governance stymies statebuilding and democratization.  Drawing on her most recent book, The Peacebuilding Puzzle: Political Order in Post-Conflict States (Cambridge University Press 2017), Dr. Barma will suggest a series of principles necessary for achieving a peaceful political order in post-conflict Afghanistan. 

Naazneen H. Barma is Associate Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School.  Her research and teaching center on international engagement in post-conflict and developing countries.  Her work has been supported by the United States Institute of Peace and the Minerva Research Initiative, among others. Dr. Barma received her PhD and MA in Political Science from the University of California, Berkeley, and her MA in International Policy Studies and BA in international Relations and Economics from Stanford. Dr. Barma is one of the founders and a co-director of Bridging the Gap, an initiative devoted to enhancing the policy impact of contemporary international affairs scholarship.

  • Wednesday, May 23, 2019
  • 11:30 am: Registration
  • 11:50: Luncheon
  • 12:45 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Asian Salad
  • Teriyaki Salmon
  • Roasted Red Potatoes and Seasonal Vegetables
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • Chef’s Choice Dessert
  • Coffee
  • Vegetarian Option: Vegetable Stir Fry

Luncheon Cost

  • $31 for members
  • $40 for guests

Registration

Reservations are due by May 19 for this May 23 event.

Refunds are not available after the due date listed above.

Registration for the luncheon is now closed.  Audience seating for the lecture only may be available, depending on room capacity, on a first-come-first-served basis.

Location

Palo Corona Regional Park Headquarters
(formerly Rancho Canada Golf Club)
4860 Carmel Valley Rd
Carmel-By-The-Sea, CA 93923

The Passport for May 2019

This is an online version of the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). You may click here to see other online issues or click here to reach the archive of recent issues in PDF format. 

Afghanistan: Political Order and the Prospects for Peace

In recent months there has been a flurry of movement in the Afghan peace process after years of frustrated efforts to negotiate an end to the war in Afghanistan.  Is peace at hand and is it sustainable?

Our guest, Dr. Naazneen Barma, will assess the prospects for a peaceful settlement to the Afghanistan conflict, the current draft peace framework, and the complex governance challenges that would follow if such a deal were struck with the Taliban. 

Click the headline to read more.


The Great Decisions discussion program for 2019 concluded on March 25. However, the conversation continues through WACMB’s two ongoing discussion groups. Both programs are free for WACMB members. Each month, the group will select the topic for the following month’s discussion.

Click the headline to read more.


Click the headline to read more.


WACMB In Profile:
Board President Larry Johnson

Welcome to WACMB In Profile, the first in an occasional series of profiles of members of our organization. The World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area is full of interesting people who have done and are doing interesting things. WACMB In Profile will let you get to know some of them better. For this inaugural column, we begin at the head of the organization.

WACMB Board President Larry Johnson is a lifelong Californian and a proud graduate of UC Santa Cruz (you may have noticed that he bleeds Banana Slug Yellow), where he studied Politics with an emphasis on Public Opinion and Social Psychology. He put his degree to work during a long and distinguished career in radio. Larry was a co-founder of the UCSC radio station (KRUZ, now KZSC); Founder, Program Director, and DJ at KTYD in Santa Barbara; DJ at KNDE in Sacramento; DJ and Public Affairs Programmer at KSJO in San Jose; and Public Affairs Programmer both at KOME in San Jose and at Double 99 in San Francisco and Santa Cruz.

In addition to his wide-ranging work with radio stations, Larry has taught Radio Programming and Production at CSU Los Angeles, Humboldt State University, and San Jose State University. Some of the best parts of his career were playing a role in the birth of the Progressive Rock radio format, and founding and participating in radio stations. Now Larry gets to indulge his lifelong interest in current events and world affairs by serving as WACMB Board president and moderator of the WAC/MPC Discussion Group.

Larry’s wife, Kathleen Baker, is an active volunteer who has done some wonderful work in our community. She is a co-founder of Gathering For Women – Monterey, a resource center and community for homeless women on the Monterey Peninsula. She is also involved in the Master Gardeners Program and Monterey’s Neighborhood Improvement Program. Larry’s daughter, Erin, lives in the Seattle area, where she works in Human Resources in the technology sector when she’s not out traveling around the world.


Want to Get Involved?

WACMB is always looking for volunteers to help keep the organization running smoothly. If you’d like to get more involved with your organization, whether on a committee or on the board, we welcome you! Please let us know by sending an email to wacmb@redshift.com.


New Refund Policy

If you look closely at the Reservation Form for our monthly luncheon, you’ll notice a new line:

No refunds or credit will be given for cancellations received after the due date.

You can make and cancel luncheon reservations at any time up until the end of the day on the due date, which is always listed on the reservation form. We agree to pay the luncheon venue for the number of reservations we have at that point. If you cancel a reservation after the due date, your WACMB is still contractually obligated to pay for that unused lunch. Therefore, in order to be fiscally responsible, we will no longer be able to issue refunds or credit for any cancellations that are made after the due date.

Thank you for understanding why we have implemented this change. As always, members’ comments are welcome. Send your thoughts to wacmb@redshift.com.


This is the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). Founded in 1951, the council is a nonprofit, non-partisan organization established to promote the presentation, discussion, and study of international affairs. WACMB is a tax-exempt 501 (c) (3) organization, EIN-770301206. Contributions are tax deductible as permitted by law. WACMB sponsors monthly luncheons, discussion groups, and student scholarships.

Corporate and institutional support for the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area is provided by:

  • California State University Monterey Bay
  • Defense Language Institute
  • Monterey Peninsula College
  • Naval Postgraduate School
  • Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey
  • Rancho Canada
  • Horan & Lloyd Law Firm

WACMB Logo

Discussion Groups for May 2019

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

WACMB Discussion Group meetings are free and open to the public.

The Great Decisions discussion program for 2019 concluded on March 25. However, the conversation continues through WACMB’s two ongoing discussion groups. Both programs are free for WACMB members. Each month, the group will select the topic for the following month’s discussion.


MPC

Meetings are on the second Monday of the month, from 4:00-5:30 pm in Room 101, Social Sciences Building. Parking is available for $3 in Lot D.

The topic for the May 13 meeting is“The Israeli-Palestinian Conundrum.” Over fifty years after the founding of Israel, tensions remain. Can common ground be found between the two sides?

Click here to put this event on your online calendar.


OLLI/CSUMB

Meetings are on the third Monday of the month, from 4:00-5:30 at the CSUMB Ryan Ranch Location. Parking is free. Note: please RSVP for this group at either csumb.edu/olli or (831) 582-5500 so that you can receive course communications.

The topic for the May 20 meeting is Israel and Palestine.

Click here to put this event on your online calendar.