The Passport for September 2018

This is an online version of the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). You may click here to see other online issues or click here to reach the archive of recent issues in PDF format.

Luncheon Meeting on September 28, 2018

Topic

From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia

— This Event Is Sold Out —

Speaker

Professor Michael McFaul

United States Ambassador to the Russian Federation 2012 – 2014

Overview

In 2008 when Michael McFaul was asked to leave his perch at Stanford University to join an unlikely presidential campaign he had no idea that he would find himself at the center of one of today’s most consequential international relationships. As President Barack Obama’s adviser on Russian affairs, McFaul helped craft the United States’ policy known as “reset” that fostered a new and unprecedented collaboration between the two countries. And then, as U.S. Ambassador to Russia, he had a front row seat when this hopeful moment crumbled with Vladimir Putin’s return to the presidency.

On this occasion Professor McFaul will share highlights from his new book, From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, May 2018), a highly acclaimed account that combines history and memoir to tell the story of U.S.-Russia relations from the fall of the Soviet Union to the new rise of President Putin.

Michael McFaul is Professor of Political Science, Director of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, and Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institute at Stanford University. He earned his B.A. in International Relations and Slavic Languages and M.A. in Soviet and East European Studies at Stanford. As a Rhodes Scholar, Professor McFaul completed his Ph.D. in International Relations at Oxford University.

Books will be available for sale and signing at the program.

Please note that this program will be held at the Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey.  Reservations will be accepted in the order they are received until the program is full.  We regret that we are unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Agenda

Friday, September 28, 2018
11:00 am: Registration
11:50 am: Luncheon
12:50 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Field Green Salad
  • Grilled Salmon Filet with Lemon Dill Beurre Blanc
  • Rice Pilaf and Grilled Vegetables
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • NY Cheesecake with Mango Coulis and Berries
  • Coffee and Tea
  • Vegetarian Option: Peppers Stuffed with Vegetables, Rice and Cheese

Luncheon Cost

  • $29 for members
  • $35 for guests

Registration

This event is sold out and registration is closed.  We regret that we are unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Location

Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey
1000 Aguajito Road
Monterey, CA 93923

 

Property and Parking Map (click map for larger view)

 


Discussion Groups for September 2018

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

MPC

Cyber Strategy: Russia, Putin, and Political Warfare.

The Discussion Group will evaluate Russia’s continued interference in U.S.
and other Western electoral processes. Participants will discuss why Russia does what it does in the cyber domain, and what the United States can do about it.

The MPC Discussion group will meet on Monday, September 10 at 4:00 pm in the Social Science Building, Room 101, Monterey Peninsula College, 980 Fremont Street, Monterey. Parking is available in Lot D for $3.00.

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of MPC Location


OLLI

The OLLI Discussion Group resumes after its summer hiatus, and will meet on Monday, September 17 at 4:00 pm at CSUMB’s Ryan Ranch campus, 8 Upper Ragsdale Drive, Monterey. Advance registration is required; find the form at this link and look for the course called Current Affairs Discussion Group.

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of OLLI-CSUMB Location

 


Board Meeting on Sep 6, 2018

Open to Members
Begins at 4:30 pm

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Location

McCone Building Conference Room, MIIS

 


For Your Information

National Conference

The World Affairs Councils of America (our parent organization) will hold its annual National Conference November 7 – 9, 2018, at the Mayflower Hotel in downtown Washington, DC.  This year’s topic is “Braving the New World Order.”

Featured speakers:

  • Dr. Nina Ansary, Visiting Fellow at the London School of Economics and one of six UN Women Champions for Innovation
  • Ray Rothrock, Chairman and CEO of cybersecurity provider RedSeal
  • Dr. Dambisa Moyo, author, international economist and one of Time Magazine’s 100 Most Influential People in the World
  • Kelly Magsamen, VP for National Security and International Policy at the Center for America Progress

In addition, the conference will include visits to local think tanks and embassies, an ambassadors’ luncheon, events for young professionals and students, and fantastic networking opportunities.

Early Bird registration is now open.  Student discounts are available.

Interested?  For more information, visit the conference website:
https://www.wacaconference2018.org


Luncheon Meeting on September 28, 2018

Topic

From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia

— This Event Is Sold Out —

Speaker

Professor Michael McFaul

United States Ambassador to the Russian Federation 2012 – 2014

Overview

In 2008 when Michael McFaul was asked to leave his perch at Stanford University to join an unlikely presidential campaign he had no idea that he would find himself at the center of one of today’s most consequential international relationships. As President Barack Obama’s adviser on Russian affairs, McFaul helped craft the United States’ policy known as “reset” that fostered a new and unprecedented collaboration between the two countries. And then, as U.S. Ambassador to Russia, he had a front row seat when this hopeful moment crumbled with Vladimir Putin’s return to the presidency.

On this occasion Professor McFaul will share highlights from his new book, From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, May 2018), a highly acclaimed account that combines history and memoir to tell the story of U.S.-Russia relations from the fall of the Soviet Union to the new rise of President Putin.

Michael McFaul is Professor of Political Science, Director of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, and Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institute at Stanford University. He earned his B.A. in International Relations and Slavic Languages and M.A. in Soviet and East European Studies at Stanford. As a Rhodes Scholar, Professor McFaul completed his Ph.D. in International Relations at Oxford University.

Books will be available for sale and signing at the program.

Please note that this program will be held at the Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey.  Reservations will be accepted in the order they are received until the program is full.  We regret that we are unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Agenda

Friday, September 28, 2018
11:00 am: Registration
11:50 am: Luncheon
12:50 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Field Green Salad
  • Grilled Salmon Filet with Lemon Dill Beurre Blanc
  • Rice Pilaf and Grilled Vegetables
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • NY Cheesecake with Mango Coulis and Berries
  • Coffee and Tea
  • Vegetarian Option: Peppers Stuffed with Vegetables, Rice and Cheese

Luncheon Cost

  • $29 for members
  • $35 for guests

Registration

This event is sold out and registration is closed.  We regret that we are unable to accommodate auditors at this event.

Location

Hilton Garden Inn, Monterey
1000 Aguajito Road
Monterey, CA 93923

 

Property and Parking Map (click map for larger view)

Discussion Groups for September 2018

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

MPC

Cyber Strategy: Russia, Putin, and Political Warfare.

The Discussion Group will evaluate Russia’s continued interference in U.S.
and other Western electoral processes. Participants will discuss why Russia does what it does in the cyber domain, and what the United States can do about it.

The MPC Discussion group will meet on Monday, September 10 at 4:00 pm in the Social Science Building, Room 101, Monterey Peninsula College, 980 Fremont Street, Monterey. Parking is available in Lot D for $3.00.

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of MPC Location


OLLI

The OLLI Discussion Group resumes after its summer hiatus, and will meet on Monday, September 17 at 4:00 pm at CSUMB’s Ryan Ranch campus, 8 Upper Ragsdale Drive, Monterey. Advance registration is required; find the form at this link and look for the course called Current Affairs Discussion Group.

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of OLLI-CSUMB Location

The Passport for August 2018

This is an online version of the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). You may click here to see other online issues or click here to reach the archive of recent issues in PDF format.

Luncheon Meeting on August 23, 2018

Topic

Cyber Strategy: Russia, Putin and Political Warfare

Speaker

Ryan Maness

Naval Postgraduate School

Overview

Russia’s continued interference in U.S. and other Western electoral processes and political discourse via cyber and information warfare tactics has left these societies divided and discontent.  As Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation continues to uncover Russia’s involvement in the 2016 campaign, the question that remains for many is whether members of the Trump campaign were involved and, if so, at what level.

Ryan Maness will examine why Russia does what it does in the cyber domain, and what the United States can do about it.  He will describe how cyber coercion complements, rather than replaces, traditional instruments of statecraft and power.  He will offer the empirically-grounded theory that cyber strategies function more as political warfare and covert action than decisive instruments of war, and seem most useful in the manipulation of information between geopolitical rivals.  He also will discuss the emerging art of cyber strategy as part of a larger approach to coercion by states in the
international system since the turn of the century.

Ryan Maness is the primary data collector and coder of the Dyadic Cyber Incident and Dispute (DCID) dataset, which records all state-attributed cyber incidents between rivals.  He has published in outlets such as Oxford University Press, Journal of Peace Research, Foreign Affairs, and Armed Forces and Society.  His most recent book is Cyber Strategy: The Changing Character of Power and Coercion (Oxford University Press, 2018). Professor Maness earned his PhD in Political Science at the University of Illinois.

Agenda

Thursday, August 23, 2018
11:30 am: Registration
11:50 am: Luncheon
12:50 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Caesar Salad
  • Chicken Piccata with Lemon Caper Sauce
  • Rice Pilaf and Vegetable Medley
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • Chef’s Choice Dessert
  • Coffee
  • Vegetarian Option: Fettucini Alfredo

Luncheon Cost

  • $29 for members
  • $35 for guests
  • Lecture is open to the public at no charge, beginning at 12:50pm

Registration

Registration for the luncheon is now closed.  Audience seating for the lecture only may be available, depending on room capacity, on a first-come-first-served basis.

Location

Palo Corona Regional Park (formerly Rancho Canada)
4860 Carmel Valley Rd
Carmel-By-The-Sea, CA 93923

 


Discussion Group on Monday August 13, 2018

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

Putin and Trump: The Future
Trajectory for Russia/U.S. Relations

Free to the Public

The next MPC Discussion Group meeting will address the topic Putin and Trump: The Future Trajectory for Russia/U.S. Relations.  Given the interactions that have already occurred between the Trump administration and Russia, what does the future hold in store for the relationship between these two nations?  Participants may also evaluate the outcome of July’s Trump/Putin summit.

This timely discussion will be held on Monday, August 13 at 4:00 pm in the Social Science Building, Room 101, Monterey Peninsula College, 980 Fremont Street, Monterey, CA 93940.  Parking is available in Lot D for $3.00.

Come join the discussion!

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of Location

 


Board Meeting on Aug 2, 2018

Open to Members
Begins at 4:30 pm
 

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Location

McCone Building Conference Room, MIIS

 


Save The Date

On September 28, 2018, Dr. Michael McFaul, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia and current Professor of Political Science at Stanford University, will speak at our monthly luncheon about his latest book, From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia.  Don’t miss this opportunity to hear from one of America’s leading experts on relations between the United States and Russia.

 


For Your Information

National Conference

The World Affairs Councils of America (our parent organization) will hold its annual National Conference November 7 – 9, 2018, at the Mayflower Hotel in downtown Washington, DC.  This year’s topic is “Braving the New World Order.”

Featured speakers:

  • Dr. Nina Ansary, Visiting Fellow at the London School of Economics and one of six UN Women Champions for Innovation
  • Ray Rothrock, Chairman and CEO of cybersecurity provider RedSeal
  • Dr. Dambisa Moyo, author, international economist and one of Time Magazine’s 100 Most Influential People in the World
  • Kelly Magsamen, VP for National Security and International Policy at the Center for America Progress

In addition, the conference will include visits to local think tanks and embassies, an ambassadors’ luncheon, events for young professionals and students, and fantastic networking opportunities.

Early Bird registration is now open.  Student discounts are available.

Interested?  For more information, visit the conference website:
https://www.wacaconference2018.org

 


Welcome to Our New Members
Winter/Spring 2018

Georgia Byrne
Pattie Cucura
Johanna Dimitrov
Nalini Elkins
Makuria Gordon
Boyd and Susan Haight
Tamara and Reuben Harris
Abdullahi Kani
Tom LaFollette
William Meyer
Sharon Miller
Akbar Montaser
Dr. and Mrs. Raymond Neutra
Michelle Noseworthy
Margaret and Jens Pedersen
Kathy Pomeroy
Doug Porch
LaVonne Rilling
Suzanne Safar
Fred Slautterback
Mary Jane Sligar
Jim Suchen
William Wiltschko


Discussion Group on Monday August 13, 2018

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

Putin and Trump: The Future
Trajectory for Russia/U.S. Relations

Free to the Public

The next MPC Discussion Group meeting will address the topic Putin and Trump: The Future Trajectory for Russia/U.S. Relations.  Given the interactions that have already occurred between the Trump administration and Russia, what does the future hold in store for the relationship between these two nations?  Participants may also evaluate the outcome of July’s Trump/Putin summit.

This timely discussion will be held on Monday, August 13 at 4:00 pm in the Social Science Building, Room 101, Monterey Peninsula College, 980 Fremont Street, Monterey, CA 93940.  Parking is available in Lot D for $3.00.

Come join the discussion!

Click the calendar icon to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

Interactive Map of Location

Luncheon Meeting on August 23, 2018

Topic

Cyber Strategy: Russia, Putin and Political Warfare

Speaker

Ryan Maness

Naval Postgraduate School

Overview

Russia’s continued interference in U.S. and other Western electoral processes and political discourse via cyber and information warfare tactics has left these societies divided and discontent.  As Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation continues to uncover Russia’s involvement in the 2016 campaign, the question that remains for many is whether members of the Trump campaign were involved and, if so, at what level.

Ryan Maness will examine why Russia does what it does in the cyber domain, and what the United States can do about it.  He will describe how cyber coercion complements, rather than replaces, traditional instruments of statecraft and power.  He will offer the empirically-grounded theory that cyber strategies function more as political warfare and covert action than decisive instruments of war, and seem most useful in the manipulation of information between geopolitical rivals.  He also will discuss the emerging art of cyber strategy as part of a larger approach to coercion by states in the
international system since the turn of the century.

Ryan Maness is the primary data collector and coder of the Dyadic Cyber Incident and Dispute (DCID) dataset, which records all state-attributed cyber incidents between rivals.  He has published in outlets such as Oxford University Press, Journal of Peace Research, Foreign Affairs, and Armed Forces and Society.  His most recent book is Cyber Strategy: The Changing Character of Power and Coercion (Oxford University Press, 2018). Professor Maness earned his PhD in Political Science at the University of Illinois.

Agenda

Thursday, August 23, 2018
11:30 am: Registration
11:50 am: Luncheon
12:50 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Caesar Salad
  • Chicken Piccata with Lemon Caper Sauce
  • Rice Pilaf and Vegetable Medley
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • Chef’s Choice Dessert
  • Coffee
  • Vegetarian Option: Fettucini Alfredo

Luncheon Cost

  • $29 for members
  • $35 for guests
  • Lecture is open to the public at no charge, beginning at 12:50pm

Registration

Registration for the luncheon is now closed.  Audience seating for the lecture only may be available, depending on room capacity, on a first-come-first-served basis.

Location

Palo Corona Regional Park (formerly Rancho Canada)
4860 Carmel Valley Rd
Carmel-By-The-Sea, CA 93923

Discussion Group on Monday July 9, 2018

To see a list of recent Discussion Group events, click here.

North Korea . . . What Now?

Free to the Public

The next MPC Discussion Group meeting will focus on North Korea . . . What Now?  Participants will appraise what has happened since the Trump/Kim Jong-un summit in June.  What is the way forward with North Korea?

This highly relevant discussion will be held on Monday, July 9 at 4:00 pm in the Social Science Building, Room 101, Monterey Peninsula College, 980 Fremont Street, Monterey, CA 93940.  Parking is available in Lot D for $3.00; parking permits are available for attendees.

Come join the discussion!

Click to get an electronic event notice for your calendar.

 

Interactive Map of Location

The Passport for July 2018

This is an online version of the monthly newsletter of the World Affairs Council of the Monterey Bay Area (WACMB). You may click here to see other online issues or click here to reach the archive of recent issues in PDF format.

Luncheon Meeting – Thursday, July 19, 2018

Topic

Xi in Command

Speaker

Michael Ipson

International Banker

Overview

Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China, has introduced new and far reaching political and economic policies since assuming leadership in 2012. He has also become increasingly powerful. Xi now holds the top offices of the party (Secretary General), the state (President) and the military (Chairman, Central Military Commission) and in March, China’s National People’s Congress amended its constitution eliminating presidential term limits. Xi Jinping is officially referred to as the Paramount Leader of the PRC.

Our guest, Michael Ipson, will review how Xi has centralized his personal power over China and look forward as he embarks upon his second term as supreme leader. In his presentation he will discuss China’s growing global role and analyze the major challenges that China and President Xi face including the economy and environmental quality.

Michael Ipson began his engagement with China in 1966 as an exchange student in Hong Kong. After pursuing graduate studies in Chinese and Vietnamese history, , he began a career in banking, spending 28 years in Hong Kong and China. During the last five years he spent his second sojourn in Beijing, including two-and-a-half years as Country Manager for International Finance Corporation, the private sector arm of the World Bank. He continues to travel to China working with financial institutions.

Agenda

Thursday, July 19, 2018
11:30 am: Registration
11:50 am: Luncheon
12:50 pm: Program

Luncheon Menu

  • Romaine Salad with Walnuts and Raspberry Vinaigrette
  • Lasagna
  • Roasted Red Potatoes and Vegetables
  • Fresh Rolls and Butter
  • Chef’s Choice Dessert
  • Coffee
  • Vegetarian Option: Grilled Portobello Mushroom

Location

4860 Carmel Valley Rd
Carmel-By-The-Sea, CA 93923

Cost

  • $29 for members
  • $35 for guests
  • Credit card charge: $2 each person

Click here to open or download the luncheon reservation form in PDF format.


June Program Report

Summary of The Demise of the Arab Spring and the Deep State

Presented by Dr. Robert Springborg

The World Affairs Council was honored to host Dr. Robert Springborg for its June luncheon, when he spoke on The Demise of the Arab Spring and the Deep State.  Recently retired from the Naval Postgraduate School, Dr. Springborg is currently a non-resident fellow at the Italian Institute of International Affairs, and is widely recognized as one of America’s premier scholars of the Middle East.

Decades before the term “deep state” entered the American political lexicon, it was most frequently used in analyses of Turkey to explain how the military kept tight reins on the exercise of power while allowing elections to occur and democracy to ostensibly function. Dr. Springborg elaborated on how deep states have come to rule most Arab republics (less so in monarchies) by centering real power, which has been enabled by coercion, in military intelligence, security forces, police, and the office of the presidency.  Typically, these institutions are “off budget,” meaning that the true extent of their resources is not publicly known.  As well, these resources are autonomous from the usual tax collection system, often being generated by smuggling and similar illicit activities controlled by these deep state institutions.

Dr. Springborg’s main argument was that the pervasive deep state arrangements in much of the Arab world successfully worked against any real democratic transition during the Arab Spring.  While Egypt may have been the most famous case of Arab Spring change, it now represents the clearest victory of the deep state in reversing those democratic steps that were initiated in 2011.  In addition to fighting deep state interests, the democrats of the Arab Spring faced long odds when it came to other social variables, such as income levels, median age, and the size of the middle class.

Wading briefly into current American discussions, Springborg noted that in comparison to the Middle East, the United States has no equivalent of a deep state —”yet.”

By Glenn Robinson


Welcome to Our New Members
Fall 2017

Erik and Robin Eidsmo
Carol Bergere
Dr. Cary Mrozowski
Donna Pribble
Linda Foley
Elizabeth Gianola and James Cook
Michelle Amirkhanian
K. Haller
Joe and Cynthia Hertlein
Cheryl Gillette
John and Nell Blankfort
Mark and Bettina Schwartz